Thursday, September 17th Edition

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Today’s Big Story

Fed Delivers First Rate Hike in Year

 

Here’s how Trump could reignite the Fed independence fight after a unanimous vote reshaped the inflation outlook

 

The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate a quarter point Wednesday, to 3.75%-4%, the first increase since July 2023. And it was unanimous. The man who signed off on it is Kevin Warsh, the chair President Donald Trump personally installed after souring on Jerome Powell. Trump wanted cuts. He got the opposite.

Warsh didn’t soften it. “Inflation is too high and has been for too long,” he said, adding that the economy appears to be strengthening. He declined to say whether policy is now restrictive, waved off the Fed's own projections—“those aren't my forecasts”—and said flatly that he's "not in the forward guidance business." Translation: stop asking what comes next.

And predictably, the markets took it badly. The Dow dropped 631 points and the S&P 500 fell 0.4% as Warsh spoke, though same-day tallies varied between intraday and closing figures. Consumers feel it faster: JPMorgan, KeyCorp and BNY all lifted prime lending rates to 7%. Trump’s stated target, posted publicly, is that rates “should be 1%, or less.”

Here’s the political problem, according to CNBC: Trump has spent months arguing that other Fed voters, not his handpicked chair, were the obstacle to cheap money. A unanimous hike kills that story. CNBC flags the available pressure points—the stalled firing of Governor Lisa Cook, a paused Justice Department inquiry into Powell and a review of the 2023 Silicon Valley Bank failure that could reach Michael Barr. What does this mean for your mortgage or credit cards? Mortgage rates probably won’t spike immediately. At least, not in response to the rate hike. Fed rate changes have a stronger influence on short-term interest rates, like those on credit cards or savings accounts. Interest rates on credit card debt may rise slightly in relation to a Fed rate cut. That could deal a blow to people who already carry a balance from one month to the next, especially with credit card debt near an all-time high.

 
FYI:

As energy prices have climbed, so have long-term Treasury yields, which on Tuesday reached their highest levels in nearly two decades.
 

EU Rolls Out Red Carpet to Canada

 

The bloc’s offer of “associate member” is the first of its kind

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen went off script Wednesday and offered Canada a path to becoming the EU’s first “associate member”. If that doesn’t sound familiar, you’re right: It’s a status that doesn’t actually exist yet. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney was sitting in the European Parliament as her guest. The line wasn’t in her prepared remarks. The chamber gave her a standing ovation anyway.

The subtext isn’t subtle: Relations with President Donald Trump's Washington are deteriorating, and Brussels is shopping for friends. But the substance is thin. Canada doesn’t want full single-market integration, the New York Times reports, and some EU governments weren’t consulted before von der Leyen floated it. Any new tier of membership would need all of them to sign off unanimously.

Carney addresses Parliament Thursday, which is when we find out whether he treats this as a serious offer or a warm gesture. Standing ovations are cheap. Unanimity in Brussels is not.

 
Dig Deeper:

Trump has argued the trade war would revive American manufacturing. Yet manufacturing jobs have fallen since he took office last year, and Canada now buys less American goods, not more.

Partner

Fresh for Fall

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Clockwise, from top left:

Fortela Amish waffle-knit henley, $195; Mr P. Leather-trimmed suede jacket, $1,145; Polo Ralph Lauren Striped twill tie, $125; Our Legacy Wide-leg wool-blend chino, $720; Casey Casey Panno knitted cardigan, $1,520; Frizmworks Corduroy trouser, $225

 
Explore:
 
Check out the new season at MR PORTER
 

Snap’s $2,200 Smart Glasses Are Finally Here

 

The company thinks its chunky, pricey smart glasses are the future of human computing

Do you remember when Snap debuted its long-awaited smart glasses, Specs, earlier this year? The reveal was not only underwhelming but also kind of a disaster. The glasses (which cost a whopping $2,200 and are vaguely reminiscent of scuba gear) inspired jeers online and calls for the company’s CEO, Evan Spiegel, to resign. The company’s stock subsequently nosedived.

This week, the company had its chance to make that argument. At an event in Los Angeles, Spiegel and other Snap executives unveiled a variety of new features and services connected to Specs. The new updates seem clearly designed to help integrate the glasses into a broader array of digital activities and, in doing so, give Specs a clearer sense of purpose.

Tech sites finally got a chance to try them out. Gizmodo called them “dorky” but “fun, with a few kinks to iron out.” The Verge was skeptical of whether they’ll be fully ready for primetime. But you can now connect with HBO Max and Spotify (a baseline of interactive fun that smart glasses have largely lacked until now). But Engadget’s reviewer enjoyed them and said “I actually think they look okay. I likely wouldn't wear them as my everyday glasses, but I don't think they look any goofier than other AR products I've tried.”

 
Dig Deeper:

WIRED outlines what the specs can (and can’t) do.

Have you
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Today’s Member Extras

Valet. Member

Exclusive

 

Culture Debriefing

The Trends You Need to Know About Right Now

 

Lawsuit Alleges Multimillion-Dollar Andy Warhol Fraud Scheme

 

Today on

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From a pair of rugged work boots to some sleek minimalist mules, these are the kicks our team can’t stop talking about.

 
 

And with this code, you get 30% off new fall styles.

 

Morning Motto

It’s not the end. It’s redirection.